Article
First Things First
Insight: How Will Population Shifts Impact Global Supply Chains?
May 2, 2023
By Rob Garrison
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Every week, Mercado CEO Rob Garrison pens his latest learnings from the supply chain industry as part of an on-going series. Each article aims to share a little insight into what's going on that week, and to help foster discussion amongst industry professionals across levels, geographies, and companies.
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This year, India is expected to surpass China to become the world's most populous country. In fact, based on birth rate projections, India is estimated to have double China's population within this century.
To understand the factors driving this shift, check out this insightful video from The Wall Street Journal.
So, how will these population shifts affect supply chains? While not a perfect analogy, we can draw some insights from China's experience, where investments were tied more to market reforms than population growth. If India (and Africa) follow a similar investment path, we can expect dramatic changes in global supply chains. In Part 2, I'll discuss the supply chain investments China made from 1990 to 2020 that supported their market reforms, and enabled their massive GDP growth.
- Investment in infrastructure and the development of new transportation technologies.
- More people will move to urban areas, leading to shifts in consumption patterns.
- A larger workforce will necessitate the need for the creation of more jobs.
- To address the challenges of population growth, supply chains will leverage new technologies and innovations.
About the author

Rob Garrison
A highly accomplished Global Supply Chain executive with 25 years of experience, Rob Garrison has provided strategic vision and leadership to Fortune 500 companies. Rob has an impressive history of building agile, technology-enabled supply chains, and he has an established track record of forging high-growth partnerships, positioning organizations for success and launching innovative technology solutions that significantly improve end-to-end supply chain efficiencies.
Rob is currently CEO and founder of Mercado Labs.
Rob is currently CEO and founder of Mercado Labs.